Well the northern and southern branch's of this dude are not phasing as expected. That coupled with a more north shift in frontal passage will mean a heavy snow shifting it's sights to central Indiana and farther north. Mostly rain for Kentucky and southern Indiana.

Very cold temps are still on the table and brutal to those that get a good snow fall base. Glad this one is changing and moving this way had it not I feel 10 inch snowfall could have easily been reached in spots. Still could move a bit farther south and make things interesting but models and weather balloon information are starting to get a decent handle on this one now and temperature profiles will be a bit warmer during the event time.

My gut on this one was wrong....and I'm glad