Personally the PERFECT conditions would be water temp hitting 50 for the first time, usually right after the turnover in early December, OVERCAST - absolutely no sun all day, light wind maybe about 5MPH to put a small chop on the water and it be spitting rain on and off all day.
Any day whent he water is below 50 and overcast is pretty good. This year is a bad year overall for the fly due to the fluxuation of air and water temps over the past couple of months. The first of November with the temps being 56-57 made me think it was going to be an early bite but just the opposite happened when we had the cold week the second week of December, best bite of the year for me, then we get 8-10 days of it being 60 degrees or better. Lake turnover took forever to happen and the fish became lethargic in not knowing what state the water would be in today versus yesterday or tomorrow. It should be picking up now and be a pretty good bite the rest of the way.



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