Water temps then moon....don't have to have a full moon during the spawn but it will certainly put many of them on the beds around the full moon if it happens to fall within the right water temperatures.
Now, as far as the spawn goes...some have spawned and some haven't. I have taken some shallow girls down south on Ky Lake but on north ends of both lakes all the females I am taking are still on staging areas...we have the water temps for them to move shallow and the full moon is Thursday..if they don't move in now, they won't this year in my opinion....I believe many of the bass spawned deep (not good) with the water down last couple of weeks until it finally came up last weekend. I am catching a lot of females with eggs and rubbed tails on the lead in channel banks and secondary points...I believe these fish moved up and started fanning a couple of weeks ago but then the TVA dropped the bottomeout and drew the lakes down 2.5 ft and pulled them out. I had an 8lb on my second cast this morning sitting in 16 ft of water on a stump and she was full of eggs and had a rubbed tail. Like I said, if they don't move up with this full moon, don't look for any big numbers of big fish shallow on the north ends...just my opinion. Plenty of action shallow on small fish though and some of those bucks are keeper sized but mostly short fish.
Dave




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