2nd favorite over 4th favorite in the race and the filly was the 3rd favorite in the race by fractions of a dollar, I think you came out on the GOOD end. I thought the Exacta and Trifecta were HUGE. 2nd favorite, over 4th favorite over 5th favorite and you get back over $2K for the Tri was absolutely AMAZING. Hind sight is 20/20, as it always is, and I study losing races just as hard afterwords as I study winning races before. Favorite Lookin on the rail, where no horse from the 1 hole in a 20 horse field had won since War Admiral - and face it Lucky is no WAR ADMIRAL, 2nd favorite wins the race, 3rd favorite is a filly that is not even the best 3 yr old filly in the country, 4th favorite and best closer based on PP's on a Muddy tiring track that CD is known for, 5th favorite runs 3rd who is bred for the distance and had trained very well over a sloppy track. When you look at it that way, I am suprised that MANY wise guy handicappers did not KILL the trifecta. My bet is the best handicappers in the world did not lose on this race. Saver tickets alone would have gotten them plenty because Super Saver figured, Ice Box figured and Paddy O Prado figured.Originally Posted by redneckshadrap
Sometimes you bet a horse because of value and not because he was the best horse in the field. I loved Nobles Promise after my top 2 horses Eskendereya and Endorsement were both scratched. I still like my play because he was 24-1 and did beat Lookin at Lucky who went off at 6-1. Nobles had ran within a length of Lucky in 3 prior races and there was nothing to say he would not do it again and he did and then some at 4 times the odds.
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