I say Kentucky by three. They make a run early, but Louisville will bounce back and keep it close throughout. I think the keys for the Cards will be their guard play and how the game is officiated. The two player they cannot afford to lose to foul trouble are Siva and Deing. Is Kentucky more talented? Yes, but unlike Elwood I don't believe the talent gap is as big as some think. Davis is unreal and gilchrist is the key to the team IMO. However that is where the talent descrepancy ends. I would take Siva over Teague all day long. It is important for the Cards to control the tempo as much as possible. Kepp it a low scoring game, ugly it up with defense and be there at the end.