Quote Originally Posted by RoadToad View Post
I don't share your confidence for one main reason: Israel knows that it's going to take more that one single attack to take out Iran's nuclear program. I wish I could google past news programs and give you a link, because there was one I saw recently that illustrated this pretty well. There are over 20 suspected sites in Iran that could part of this program, some of which are deep underground. Most of them, they can't say that one raid would take it out; it probably wouldn't. It would take a sustained campaign to totally disable their program, or even set it back substantially, and Israel does not have the political will for that right now. And I just can't believe you actually think that Obama is about to launch an attack on Iran... to me that idea is so crazy it doesn't need to be disputed.
JMO: Israel and US both know that. I think when the first bomds hit any nuc facility, the Iranians will find a new reason to start coming to the negotiating table. Think of it as the guy in the bar that throws the first punch. Either he gets hit back and loses out right (not gonna happen with Iran), or you cause the guy with the bruise to reconsider prior desire to avoid negotiations.

Another note, we all saw what happens when the US decides to do the "shock and aw" thing. Once a country gets hit, it starts to notice it's inability to protect itself, and that lends more to their considerations on why negotiation hurts less.

With Iran, somebody has to flinch first. Israel will never let that be them. They don't have that luxury.